The Sino-Russian Alliance is the Real Axis of Evil

The Sino-Russian Alliance is the Real Axis of Evil
Second of Two Parts
by David T. Pyne, Esq., Columnist, Legal Analyst and
President of the Center for the National Security Interest

January 13, 2003

Columnist David Pyne The Sino-Russian Alliance Will be Strengthened

This week marks the 3rd anniversary of President Putin's ascension to power in the Russian Federation and the beginning of what I refer to as Cold War II which began with the recapture of power in Moscow by Putin and his former KGB inner circle. Putin's ascension to power has been marked both by his centralization of dictatorial powers in the Kremlin and attempts to bring the rest of the former Soviet republics into Moscow's orbit with the goal of the re-unification of much of the old Soviet Union including Ukraine, Belarus and Kazakhstan. It has also seen the strengthening of Russia's alliance with its historic Cold War ally, China.

The Russian Federation and the PRC will continue to increase its military and technological cooperation in furtherance of their military alliance signed in July 2001 aimed at overthrowing perceived US global hegemony. Russian President Putin will continue to try to have it both ways--appearing to be pro-Western on one hand while selling Beijing billions of dollars of state-of-the-art Russian arms in order to strengthen the PLA for its planned war against the US over Taiwan later in the decade. Sino-Russian cooperation through the Shanghai Cooperation Organization will also increase and will probably include joint military exercises modeled on the bilateral military exercises earlier this year aimed against the United States. The Bush Administration will continue to be stymied as it attempts to enlist Russia and China in the war against terrorism, which the Russians and Chinese helped foment. Russia and Communist China continue to arm and supply the very terrorist supporting rogue states denounced by President Bush as an axis of evil for use as proxy countries to fight against the United States. Russia will continue expedited construction of the first of two nuclear reactors for the Islamic Republic of Iran to speed up Iran's planned achievement of an indigenous nuclear weapon production capability. Some reports have suggested that Iran may have acquired as many as seventeen low-yield nuclear weapons from Kazakhstan in 1991.

The Coming New World Order-Whose Vision Will Prevail?

US Will Continue Policy of Accommodating Communist China

The Bush Administration will continue its policy of accommodating Beijing exemplified by the increasing flow of trade, aid, credits, dual-use military technology and military exchanges to strengthen Communist political and military power on the mainland. The PRC will continue to use its $100 billion a year trade surplus with the US to purchase the latest Russian weaponry and to increase its deployment of MIRV'd missiles including its latest DF-31, DF-41 and JL-2 mobile strategic missiles which are based on both purchased Russian and stolen American technologies. The PRC will embark on a goal of achieving rough nuclear parity (about 1500 strategic warheads) with the soon-to-be much-downsized US strategic nuclear arsenal to be achieved in a decade's time. The People's Liberation Army will likely have the opportunity to use many of its US trade subsidized newly-acquired Russian weapons against the US if it decides to intervene to defend its Free Chinese allies on the Republic of Taiwan against Communist Chinese aggression when Beijing decides the time is right to invade. The Administration's continuing appeasement of Beijing and its calculated turning of a blind eye to Chinese support for anti-American terrorists, proliferation of nuclear weapons technology and ballistic missiles and its killings of hundreds of thousands of political and religious prisoners each year will be the subject of one of the next CNSI position papers in the coming weeks.

US Will Commence Nuclear Disarmament Under Treaty of Moscow

The US will begin withdrawing and perhaps deactivating nuclear warheads from its strategic arsenal well in advance of the Treaty of Moscow's December 31, 2012 effective date probably beginning this year. This treaty signed last May at the Kremlin mandates a reduction in the US strategic nuclear arsenal by as much as three-fourths which will embolden our adversaries like the PRC to match our nuclear deterrent force levels and ultimately jeopardize the US status as a global superpower. Russia will not follow suit with treaty mandated reductions and has announced plans to retain its large SS-18 and SS-24 "monster missiles", which were to have been eliminated by the START II Treaty until at least 2016. For more information on the Moscow Treaty and the declining state of US nuclear forces, please see the following link:

CNSI Policy Papers on Arms Control

For those concerned about the ramifications of the dangerously destabilizing Moscow Treaty, please contact your Senators and urge them to sponsor an amendment to the Treaty along the lines of this proposed draft amendment at:

Proposed Amendment to the Treaty of Moscow

A New Latin American Axis of Evil Will Emerge

Led by President-Elect Lula da Silva of Brazil who took office on New Year's Day, a new Marxist coalition consisting of Brazil, Ecuador, Cuba and Venezuela will be established in opposition to America. This Marxist coalition will support terrorist actions against its non-Marxist Latin American neighbors and the United States. Lula, for his part, will align himself with the Sino-Russian alliance as he has hinted that he would and will carry out his plan to restart Brazil's nuclear weapons program to counter US power. Brazil may also begin conversion of some of its space launch rocket boosters for use as ICBM nuclear weapon delivery systems for testing during the next few years. Lula will likely opt for a partial if not complete default of Brazil's $260 billion debt plunging much of the continent into greater economic turmoil. Argentina may be the next domino to fall if a leftist presidential candidate triumphs in its March 2003 presidential election as now seems likely. For more detailed policy papers on the increasing threat from a radicalized Latin America, please see the following link:

CNSI Policy Papers on Latin America

David T. Pyne, Esq. is a national security expert who serves as President of the Center for the National Security Interest, a pro-defense, national security think-tank based in Arlington, VA. He has served as an International Programs Manager in the Department of Defense responsible for the countries of the former Soviet Union, the Middle East and Latin America and has traveled as a member of Department of Defense-led delegations to Canada, South Africa, Israel, Brazil and Argentina. Mr. Pyne is a licensed attorney and former United States Army Officer. He holds an MA in National Security Studies from Georgetown University. Mr. Pyne also serves as Executive Vice President of the Virginia Republican Assembly. He has been published on WorldNetDaily.com and other conservative opinion websites. Mr. Pyne was recently interviewed on Howard Phillips' Conservative Roundtable TV program and has been interviewed on assorted radio talk show programs as well. In adition, Mr. Pyne serves as a columnist for American-Partisan.com , OpinioNet.net and America's Voices. He is also a regular contributor for Patriotist.com. In addition, his articles have appeared on Etherzone.com, Sierratimes.com, OriginalDissent.com and AmericanReformation.org where he serves as a national security policy analyst.

This article was originally published at the Center for the National Security Interest.
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